2004 Derby Results
Nearly 3,000 players participated in Box Office Mojo's Box Office Derby last year, but only one won the competition, in which each player predicts weekend movie grosses and gets points based on accuracy.
{file:derby2004.html}The winner—for the second year in a row—is Luka Liklavcic, who uses the alias Gemini in the game. Liklavcic, 25, of Kranj, Slovenia, scored the most points, predicting weekend box office with 84.73% accuracy. He was the sole player to score higher than Box Office Mojo president and publisher, Brandon Gray, whose forecast was 83.86% accurate for 2004.
Liklavcic, who studies English at the university in Slovenia's capital, Ljubljana, told Box Offce Mojo he has been interested in box office since 1997. He cites Titanic as the movie that peaked his interest and his favorite movies include Pulp Fiction, Falling Down, The Shawshank Redemption and the Lethal Weapon pictures. He said he likes to listen to music, watch television, play Internet games and contests and follow America's entertainment industry. Liklavcic said he plans to pursue his post-graduate studies in the United States and would like to move to California.
Liklavcic said he has read Box Office Mojo since the publication was founded in 1999. Citing past movie grosses and extensive daily figures as his favorite tools, he said he visits several times in a given day. "What I love most is the accuracy of every number," he explained. "So I know I can always rely on any domestic box office figure."
Snapping at Liklavcic's—and Brandon Gray's—heels for a third-place finish, Californian Scott Vasquez scored an 83.84% accuracy, just two-hundredths of a point behind Gray. The 21-year-old told Box Office Mojo that he lives in Anaheim, California, studies film at Orange Coast College, and—when he's not studying—works at a local movie theater.
Vasquez said the job gives him an advantage in playing the Derby, which he described as more than a guessing game. "First, I look at what [a movie] is going up against, then [the audience] reactions, then how many multi-prints a movie gets [i.e., how many screens a movie is playing at in one theater]." He said his favorite movie is South Park.
Brandon Gray held the year's most accurate forecast in a single game, scoring over 95 percent for the weekend of June 4, when Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban opened to $93.7 million. Gray's forecast is published weekly, while Derby contestants have the option to abstain from participating in a particular game.
The most challenging game in 2004 proved to be the weekend of January 30, when You Got Served topped the box office with a surprising $16.1 million. On average, players called the movie to open at $6.8 million with a fifth place rank.
The Box Office Derby is published each week at:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/games/
RELATED LINKS
• Official Derby Rules
• 2004 Derby Results
• Discuss box office forecasts in the forum
{file:derby2004.html}The winner—for the second year in a row—is Luka Liklavcic, who uses the alias Gemini in the game. Liklavcic, 25, of Kranj, Slovenia, scored the most points, predicting weekend box office with 84.73% accuracy. He was the sole player to score higher than Box Office Mojo president and publisher, Brandon Gray, whose forecast was 83.86% accurate for 2004.
Liklavcic, who studies English at the university in Slovenia's capital, Ljubljana, told Box Offce Mojo he has been interested in box office since 1997. He cites Titanic as the movie that peaked his interest and his favorite movies include Pulp Fiction, Falling Down, The Shawshank Redemption and the Lethal Weapon pictures. He said he likes to listen to music, watch television, play Internet games and contests and follow America's entertainment industry. Liklavcic said he plans to pursue his post-graduate studies in the United States and would like to move to California.
Liklavcic said he has read Box Office Mojo since the publication was founded in 1999. Citing past movie grosses and extensive daily figures as his favorite tools, he said he visits several times in a given day. "What I love most is the accuracy of every number," he explained. "So I know I can always rely on any domestic box office figure."
Snapping at Liklavcic's—and Brandon Gray's—heels for a third-place finish, Californian Scott Vasquez scored an 83.84% accuracy, just two-hundredths of a point behind Gray. The 21-year-old told Box Office Mojo that he lives in Anaheim, California, studies film at Orange Coast College, and—when he's not studying—works at a local movie theater.
Vasquez said the job gives him an advantage in playing the Derby, which he described as more than a guessing game. "First, I look at what [a movie] is going up against, then [the audience] reactions, then how many multi-prints a movie gets [i.e., how many screens a movie is playing at in one theater]." He said his favorite movie is South Park.
Brandon Gray held the year's most accurate forecast in a single game, scoring over 95 percent for the weekend of June 4, when Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban opened to $93.7 million. Gray's forecast is published weekly, while Derby contestants have the option to abstain from participating in a particular game.
The most challenging game in 2004 proved to be the weekend of January 30, when You Got Served topped the box office with a surprising $16.1 million. On average, players called the movie to open at $6.8 million with a fifth place rank.
The Box Office Derby is published each week at:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/games/
RELATED LINKS
• Official Derby Rules
• 2004 Derby Results
• Discuss box office forecasts in the forum
